There are many options for what the reality will become in the Gaza Strip, after it enters the second phase of US President Donald Trump’s plan, which is based on establishing an international security force to be deployed in the Strip.

International discussions have led to many scenarios about the nature of the international force that will monitor the situation in Gaza after the war.

The Center for International Strategic Studies, Reuters, and American and Israeli websites came up with 6 scenarios in which they outline the features of the next stage and the tasks and nature of this international force.

  • First scenario: The presence of an international police civilian command and a coordination room that includes the United Nations, the European Union, and an interim Palestinian government with Israeli-Egyptian participation on the border.
  • Second scenario: Re-enabling the Palestinian Authority, or a later interim Palestinian government, to gradually secure the operational aspects of Gaza’s civil and security administration by rebuilding the police and civil defense services with international support.
  • Third scenario (A hybrid that combines the two previous scenarios): It is represented by the presence of a local Palestinian police operating internally, supported by international advisors, special international teams to monitor the crossings, and an international oversight umbrella for security and service performance.
  • Fourth scenario: It is assumed that direct or indirect Israeli control will continue with local civilian administrations.
  • Fifth scenario: He proposes a UN peacekeeping mission with a mandate from the Security Council that will work to maintain stability, protect civilians, follow up on the withdrawal of forces, and train Palestinian police.
  • Sixth and final scenario: It is an implementation of what was included in the proposed ideas about establishing an international transitional authority for Gaza, including what was called “GITA” and includes a security wing called the International Stabilization Force.
    A report by the British newspaper “The Guardian” pointed out that the United States supports, along with other European and Arab countries, giving this force (GETA) cover from the Security Council, through a draft international resolution that grants the force “considerable powers inside Gaza.”

Regarding these powers, (GETA) consists of military and police units belonging to contributing countries with previous experience in peacekeeping.

It is also supported by a United Nations liaison office and technical support teams from the United States and the European Union, including Its tasks include implementing ceasefire arrangements and monitoring violations, in addition to securing the main crossings, borders, and sea ports.

GETA also works to protect humanitarian operations and reconstruction areas, in addition to carrying out high-risk stabilization and counterinsurgency missions when needed.

According to the scenario referred to in the Guardian report, a civil-military coordination system is supposed to be established with the Palestinian civilian police and humanitarian agencies, expecting the spread of this force to be gradual.

As for the present in Gaza, local forces from the Gaza municipalities are regulated according to the current situation under the Local Authorities Law of 1997.

This local force – by law – undertakes comprehensive tasks such as water and sewage networks, waste collection, and is also concerned with local organization, local roads and lighting.

While the police and security services from Internal Security are responsible for traffic and illegal weapons control.

A number of ministries are still working after the war, most notably Health, Interior, and Trade.

These scenarios remain hostage to realistic challenges and questions until they are crystallized by the outcomes of international talks that will study all possibilities and, in turn, will shape the new reality in Gaza in the post-war and reconstruction phase.

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