Danes go to the polls with Frederiksen motivated after her confrontation with Donald Trump over Greenland

This Tuesday, Danes are already exercising their right to vote in early parliamentary elections by the Danish Government. The polling stations opened at 8:00 a.m. and will close at 8:00 p.m.

Mette Frederiksenprime minister of Denmark and one of the most influential figures of social democracy in Europe, seeks a comfortable victory at the polls this Tuesday that will allow him to retain the power he has held since 2019.

In February, the current Danish president decided to call early electionsboosted in the polls by its defense of the sovereignty of Greenland, after the controversy raised by the president of USA, Donald Trump around the arctic island.

Frederiksen is a fervent pro-European, who has governed in coalition since 2022 with the Liberal Party and the Moderate Party (centrist), an unprecedented formula in Danish politics. Until that date, in his first term, he governed as a minority with the forces to his left.

Despite his social democratic convictions, he stands out for his immigration hard linemore aligned with the postulates of Giorgia Meloni in Italia than that of other leaders of the European left such as Pedro Sánchez.

Frederiksen has focused his election campaign speech on security, defense and the “Greenland effect”“, by ensuring that it is the main guarantee that this Danish territory continues to belong to the kingdom, with the intention of capitalizing on support for its firm stance in foreign policy.

At the end of last December, the political career of the social democratic politician seemed to be facing its final stretch. The Green Leftthe surprising winner in the 2024 European elections, was hot on his heels in the polls.

Behind him setback in the municipal electionsin which the Social Democrats lost the mayoralty of Copenhagen for the first time in more than a century, after suffering a tough defeat against the Greens, his political career seemed to be facing the final stretch.

“The vote in Copenhagen was undoubtedly a protest vote,” the Danish political analyst said then. Henrik Qvortrup to the agency Reutersin reference to the political inability of the social democrats to confront the rise in housing prices or the rise in food prices.

However, at this moment the figure of the controversial American president emerged, a key actor in these electoral elections, who once again threatened with the annexation of Greenland, a central issue in the electoral campaign.

After the social democratic fiasco last November and at a time when the polls were moving her away from a third term, the controversies that arose regarding this Arctic island allowed Frederiksen to turn the polls around.

The latest polls carried out point to a certain victory for the Social Democratic Party in this Tuesday’s elections, with around 20% of the votes, although it will probably obtain its worst result since 1901.

Behind them, with just over 10%, are the Left Greenwhich has lost momentum in recent months due to the social democratic strength, and the Liberal Alliance, whose candidate, Alex Vanopslagh34 years old, is a very popular figure among young Danes.

According to this demographic study of YouGovthe red bloc would lead the blue by six deputies, making it difficult for the center and center-right parties to gain power and unseat the current president.

The forces of the red bloc are equivalent to the social democratic parties and the entire Danish left, while the corresponding blue bloc is where the different formations of the center and center-right, in favor of greater market liberalization, are found.

Possible alliances

Despite being the favorite, in the electoral campaign He has not given clues as to who the future Executive may be.

The formation of the Government seems complicated, in a divided scenario, with up to 12 political parties that could obtain representation in the chamber, in addition to the two chosen in Greenland and the Faroe Islands, two territories belonging to the Kingdom of Denmark.

public television DR and the semi-public TV2 They will release their exit polls at the close of the polling stations. The vote count is expected to end around midnight.

Frederiksen has not ruled out any possible government formula if your party retains its status as the most voted.

This includes the possibility of forming a coalition with the rest of the left-wing forces, “if it has the capacity to maneuver and can collaborate broadly,” as declared in the Danish parliament at the time of calling the polls.

Even so, many analysts in Danish politics do not rule out that the prime minister finally forms an Executive of coalition with its traditional left-wing partnersdespite the fact that Frederiksen said “not wanting to return to the red or blue alliances”, in reference to the traditional ideological distinction.