The European Union has never experienced days as challenging for its existence as today. From economic to political, the menu of choices is large, whether on an institutional, economic or even existential level.
For now, the Old Continent is struggling with the financial consequences of yet another war started by Trump, without his military “hunch” having foreseen Iran’s reaction, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which has put half the world under financial pressure, due to the scarcity of oil and gas.
In February 2026, inflation in the European Union was 1.9%. Now, with Trump’s warlike absurdities, inflation could very soon rise to 3%. The rise in the price of oil and gas will inevitably lead to a general increase in the price of essential goods. The most unprotected will, naturally, be those who will suffer most during these days of war.
Today, lonelier, without the support of its historic transatlantic partnership, destroyed by the erratic and deformed stance of the worst president of the United States, the European Union with the Brexit and the departure of the United Kingdom in 2020 began a trajectory that, in the future, will face dangerous challenges.
In addition to the war and aid to Ukraine, with the political and financial costs that this aid entails, the European Union will experience two electoral processes that have a marked importance in its existential path.
On April 12th, elections in Hungary could finally return this country to its natural political space if Viktor Orbán loses to Péter Magyar, his opponent in this dispute. Magyar is the leader of the Tisza Party, a democratic and pro-European inspired party. Favorite in the polls, which give him 40 to 45% of the votes, the victory of the pro-European candidate would remove Orbán, who has been nothing more than a Trojan horse in Europe, permanently aligned with Putin, in exchange for a few gallons of oil.
The year 2027 could, once again, be a year of all dangers for the European Union with the French presidential elections taking place. Macron has been one of the most active leaders in the European Union, -president of France, a country that has nuclear capabilities, and this is important in deterrent terms. If Macron runs again, he will face Marie Le Pen or, alternatively, Jordan Bardella, the president of Rassemblement National (RN), a party to which they both belong, anti-European and very close to the Russian nomenclature.
France is currently experiencing a period of municipal elections whose results could be an important indication of what will happen in 2027. According to polls, Paris will continue to be on the political left through the candidacy of Emmanuel Grégoire, who polls give 36% to 38% of the votes. On the other hand, the Rassemblement National has good prospects in some cities in northern France.
An eventual victory of the populist right in the French presidential elections in 2027 could be a major blow to the solidity of the European Union project.
Added to all this is the undoing of the international order, the lack of respect for international legislation, the imperialist ambitions of the United States and Russia, the danger of autocratic regimes, which leave the European Union in an international isolation never before recorded.
War, accumulated errors on the energy issue, Uncle Sam’s turning his back, possible political changes towards the populist right, weak leadership, political agendas disconnected from reality, excessive bureaucracy, and the absence of an agenda that favors industrialization and innovation.
These are dangers that threaten the existence of the European, democratic, free project, where individual freedoms, freedom of the press, trade union freedom, freedom of assembly and association are assets that are too precious not to face the existing dangers and not encourage those who inhabit the European space to fight politically in defense of a cultural and democratic project of incalculable value.
Leave a Reply