In the times of data journalism, of constant verification of veracity; statements exclusively on social media and videos or audios “deep-fake“It’s easy to lose the right direction and focus: listening to people. Humans. Real and genuine.
That’s what DN/Dinheiro Vivo did this week. A train of storms in February and a conflict in Iran sent prices for many products, from fresh food to fuel, soaring. Nothing that the IBGE numbers won’t reflect in a few weeks. But the numbers don’t tell the story of who is buying less because their income doesn’t stretch; It doesn’t show the anguish of someone who, a year ago, used to sell seven steaks to a family and now only four.
Listening to people – a tradition that DN’s 161 years have honored – gives us an idea of the situation in early April. And interpreting the projections of those responsible for entities such as the European Central Bank and the Bank of Portugal gives us the perspective of what the end of this year will be like. The scenario is not pleasant.
No Economic Bulletin March, the Bank of Portugal revised its inflation forecast upwards in 2026, to 2.8%. But in an adverse scenario, with the worsening of the conflict in Iran, the banking supervisor admits that inflation in Portugal could approach 4.7%. It is an increase that will not fail to have a significant additional impact on the lives and consumption habits of the Portuguese.
On the other side of the equation, the BdP also projects a decline in GDP growth to 1.8% (or just 0.8% in the adverse scenario).
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