The world will be much better off than Iran’s court decree (quiz it’s the bloodiest on the planet) thanks to an internal uprising in the next few days or weeks.
But if this does not happen and the war lasts months or years, the big ganadors will be Russia, China and Venezuela.
For Russia, the jaws are clean. The United States and Israel’s military conflict with Iran has led to a disparity in the prices of oil, which is Russia’s main export product.
This will give you an unexpected economic bonanza for the regime Vladimir Putin. The Russian government calculated its income for 2026 based on an average oil price of five cents and new dollars per barrel, but in cases of two weeks of war, oil exceeded dollars.
The oil trade also allows Russia to sell more crude to India and China, which are looking for alternatives to their purchases from Iran.
In addition, Russia benefits as the United States diverts military forces, such as anti-aircraft missiles, from Ukraine to Iran.
Russian oilman.
Washington has a limited arsenal of these missiles: it sends most of them to the Middle East to intercept Iranian attacks, the least it will ask for help from Ukraine to defend against Russian bombers.
China also gana on different frontes. Despite the fact that we are a major importer of oil, China has accumulated large reserves for emergencies, and you can buy more of them in Russia.
What Pekin needs most, however, is to transfer US military capabilities to the Middle East and gain a new pretext for a potential attack on Taiwan.
China might say, “If the United States attacked Iran and Venezuela, why can we attack Taiwan?”.
For the Chinese regime, Taiwan is a province that needs to be restored.
From afar, China sees this war as a distraction for Washington that will allow the government to focus on securing a path for artificial intelligence (IA).
Virtually ignored in the Western world while the world looked at the bombs in Iran, the Chinese government was due to announce its new national plan for the next five years on March 5th, focused precisely on AI.
The new 141-page five-year plan mentions IA at least 52 times. The goal is to ensure that artificial intelligence penetrates 70% of the Chinese economy by 2027 and 90% by 2030.
By comparison, Trump’s national security strategy, announced in November, is a 29-page document focused on fighting drugs and illegal immigration that mentions AI only five times.
Trump has already learned the full extent Action plan to achieve an AI career in July 2025, but not within the national security plan.
Venezuela will also receive financial aid if the war is prolonged. The surge in oil prices and new exports to the United States will give the interim leader a political edge Delcy Rodriguez.
Delcy Rodríguez during a meeting with her manager.
Reuters
Trump, who has repeatedly addressed Rodríguez, seems clueless about the start of the democracy process in Venezuela. Between the beginning of the war, it is likely that he was less willing to control the political table While Rodríguez checks the oil flow.
On the other hand, Trump repeatedly refers to the recent United States military operation in Venezuela as a model he wants to replicate in Iran and Cuba. He therefore believed that the political opening of Venezuela at this time can bring stability to the South American country and empathize with its own mentality over Iran.
In recapitulation, ojalá ayatólas caigan prepared for the good of world peace, Iranian people and especially Iranian women who, as it seems unbelievable, cannot even go out on the street with their heads uncovered or travel abroad without the permission of their male guardians.
But if this war drags on, those who end it will be toast Putin, Xi y Rodriguez.
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