The divergent signals of USA on the course of the conflict with Iran generated uncertainty between an eventual negotiation or a new escalation, after the president Donald Trump would affirm that Washington has “very good” conversations with Tehran and prevent attacks against Iranian energy infrastructure, while maintaining demands such as nuclear disarmament and the possibility of new military actions.
The turn of the head of the White House occurred just before the ultimatum for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz under threat of new attacks. Although the announcement of the American Union momentarily eased the tension in the markets, Tehran denied that there were ongoing negotiations and maintained that Washington was trying to manipulate the international scene with contradictory messages.
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Trump talks about dialogue, but maintains bombing threats in Iran
The dispute is no longer limited to the military front, since it also exhibits a lack of clarity about the real objectives of the United States: while the Republican president talks about dialogue, he maintains bombing threats; While raising possible agreements, he insists on maximum demands such as Iranian nuclear disarmament and once again mentions a possible regime change.
According to media reports such as Axios y Reuters, Pakistan, Egypt y Qatar appear as possible alternative channels of dialogue, after Oman mediate indirect contacts before the start of the offensive February 28.
At the same time, the prime minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahuacknowledged that Washington believes an agreement is possible, but reaffirmed that his nation will continue attacking to contain the Iranian regime and its regional allies, a position that is inconsistent with the idea of an immediate de-escalation.
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Divergent positions keep the diplomatic and military scenario open. The continuity of the attacks, along with possible indirect contacts between Washington and Tehran, will be a determining factor in defining whether the conflict evolves towards negotiation or prolongation.
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