El Baron de Rothschild the story went through his wealth and family, but he is most remembered in the markets for the famous line “you can buy while playing the violin and sell while playing the violin”.
But I look at the matrix: don’t say buy when they “fill” the cannons. We understood this to mean that the best moment was when a dangerous situation reached a cold point.
It’s also good to record who used privileged informationthanks to your weight and influence among the European ruling classes of the time (they all deserve money).
However, due to the lack of privileged information what we are interested in today is a lot of good informationOnce we get the problem out of the way and know where to find quality information.
Moreover, in this US-Israel war against Iran, we count on each other with respect to others: that everything is focused on what is happening in a certain geographical location, the end of Ormuz.
But even with privileged information, what we keep every day is a lot of good information
When we think about it so lightly, purely from an economic point of view and not geopolitical, ethical, etc., which is our job as financial advisors, It doesn’t matter how long the war lasts or if civil war results, in Iran, etc., etc.
for markets the key is whether or not sea traffic is flowing on the Hormuz side. This is the factor that will make stock markets, assets and all financial assets lower or lower.
This means, and to give a practical example, There could be a civil war in Iran and oil traffic could be flowing there. The warlords needed weapons, and in an oil-rich country, the obvious way to get the money to buy them was to sell oil.
Each of his own taif king. We have seen this on other occasions.
So now Baron de Rothschild will play as well gather the best possible information, analyze it and carefully monitor the planes of the Pentagon to release the section. Probably with the help of Europe, the main victim of the war.
Right now, Baron de Rothschild would be gathering the best possible information, analyzing it, and carefully monitoring the Pentagon’s planes to free the extreme
Anything else you can’t miss on the middle square it is unusableincluding the announcement of an intervention through the International Energy Agency, saving a significant part of its reserves on the market. This only limits the price of raw meat.
Can you keep the stretch open? If this was achieved during the Iran-Iraq war, in which both attempted to avoid oil being sold in reverse. Including the llegaron that undermines it. In fact, it was called the “war of the oilmen” because they were the main target.
On that occasion, EEUU organized Operation “Earnest Will” to listen to him. It worked: as long as I managed the traffic.
And more recently, the military forces, armed and financed by Iran, they tried and realized in time that no oil would pass through the Red Seafrom and beyond the Suez Canal. EEUU thus eliminated equipment.
The problem is that we now face a different type of enemy. The one who made drones how could you spend your day
The problem is that we now face a different type of enemy. Someone who has dedicated himself to making drones as if he has never spent a single day.
But I also know that from now on he is the main target of Israeli and North American aviation it will protect the edge destroy the factories where they are made and remove the spears.
Therefore, the comparison with the consistency of drones from Russia to Ukraine is not very realistic, Because the Ukrainian Air Force is very difficult to attack factories and drone launches in Russia, while the US and Israel have complete air superiority.
Another thing the Baron would keep a close eye on it would be the volatility index, the VIX, known in the markets as “my food index”. As I explained in the last video I watched on my channel, volatility is always swinging: there is never much time for a high or a low.
Obviously you have to edit the shot, there may be exceptional cases, like the appearance of the coronavirus or the Trump orange. It is also certain that if the Iranians go the way of Hormuz, the outcome for the world economy would be even worse than a trade war.
But the phrase “buy on the fiddle and sell on the fiddle” in today’s technological world could be translated as “buy when volatility exceeds 25 or 30 points and sell when it is around 12”.
***Víctor Alvargonzález is a founding partner of an independent financial consulting company Nextep Finance.
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